Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 2
NUR
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
NUR
4 - 2
ILL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 1
NUR
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUR
3 - 0
FRO
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NUR
1 - 0
ROS
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 5
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
ROS
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ING
3 - 0
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
186
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
MEM
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |