Nürnberg II vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
JRE
0 - 0
NUR
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TSV
1 - 2
NUR
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 0
UNT
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BAD
3 - 2
NUR
15%
20%
66%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
NUR
2 - 3
BAY
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ING
2 - 3
SCS
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ING
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FUR
1 - 2
ING
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ING
3 - 2
FRO
68%
19%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ING
1 - 1
WOL
79%
15%
6%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |