Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 3
ROS
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ILL
0 - 3
NUR
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
NUR
4 - 2
AUG
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 2
NUR
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 0
MEM
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
BAY
7 - 2
ILL
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
AUG
0 - 3
BAY
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
BUC
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MEM
2 - 3
BAY
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 3
VRG
50%
23%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |