Nürnberg II vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WUR
0 - 1
NUR
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
3 - 0
WAC
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
2 - 0
FRO
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
FEU
2 - 1
NUR
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
NUR
2 - 4
TSV
64%
20%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BAD
6 - 0
FEU
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
MEM
3 - 1
BAD
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 0
UNT
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
FCP
3 - 0
BAD
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
MEM
2 - 4
BAD
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |