Nuova Curtatone vs Pro Desenzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuova Curtatone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GON
1 - 3
NUO
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
NUO
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 2
LAZ
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
NUO
33%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Desenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DES
1 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 0
DES
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BAG
2 - 0
DES
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DES
3 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
DES
59%
21%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |