Nuorese Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAS
0 - 2
NUO
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 2
NUO
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NUO
5 - 1
AST
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 0
NUO
41%
23%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 0
NUO
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 4
ALB
22%
21%
58%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 3
PIA
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ACS
2 - 2
SSD
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 3
ASG
17%
24%
58%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
USP
2 - 1
SSD
58%
24%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |