Segunda RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 3-3
Numancia vs Yeclano Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
NUM
2 - 0
UFC
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UFC
2 - 2
NUM
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CPC
5 - 0
NUM
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NUM
1 - 0
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
URS
0 - 1
NUM
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Yeclano Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
YEC
2 - 0
LLE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LLE
0 - 1
YEC
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
YEC
0 - 1
CDC
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
YEC
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
YEC
1 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |