Numancia vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 0
NUM
37%
27%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
NUM
2 - 0
MAL
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ELC
1 - 2
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 0
PON
69%
21%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 1
NUM
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VEC
1 - 0
ALB
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALA
5 - 1
VEC
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
VEC
1 - 1
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 0
VEC
63%
23%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
VEC
1 - 2
CAD
22%
28%
50%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |