Numancia vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ACE
2 - 1
NUM
45%
21%
34%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
LOG
2 - 0
NUM
65%
18%
18%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
NUM
0 - 0
HUE
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SDE
4 - 2
NUM
37%
22%
41%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
NUM
5 - 2
CDS
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
TUD
0 - 1
SDE
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
TUD
1 - 1
CDS
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
OLI
4 - 1
TUD
72%
15%
14%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
TUD
5 - 0
TAU
81%
11%
8%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SAG
1 - 2
TUD
58%
19%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |