Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 0
ELC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 2
NUM
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 1
CAD
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CCF
3 - 3
NUM
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NUM
0 - 2
RMC
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
EXT
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
SPO
24%
29%
48%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
SPB
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |