Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 1
NUM
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 1
OSA
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
NUM
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 3
MAJ
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 0
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
OSA
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 3
SPO
17%
27%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
DEP
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |