Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
REU
1 - 0
NUM
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
OVI
0 - 1
NUM
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALM
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 2
NUM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
HUE
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
OVI
74%
16%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
REU
0 - 1
SPO
22%
28%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 4
SPO
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
SPO
23%
28%
49%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |