Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 1
SAB
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CCF
3 - 1
NUM
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
NUM
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NUM
1 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 2
EIB
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 0
SPO
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
DEP
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
REC
3 - 2
SPO
29%
26%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PON
2 - 2
SPO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |