Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
RAC
5 - 0
NUM
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 1
VCF
23%
26%
52%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 1
DEP
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OSA
2 - 0
NUM
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 1
MLL
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 2
DEP
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
OSA
1 - 2
SPO
59%
23%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
MLL
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 4
RMA
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |