Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 1
RAC
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VCF
4 - 0
NUM
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 0
NUM
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 0
OSA
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
MLL
2 - 0
NUM
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
DEP
0 - 3
SPO
61%
23%
15%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 1
OSA
37%
29%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MLL
0 - 2
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 1
VIL
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
RMA
7 - 1
SPO
87%
10%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |