Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
CDT
1 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NUM
2 - 3
EIB
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CIU
0 - 2
NUM
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NUM
2 - 0
CAD
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NUM
3 - 0
LEG
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 1
LEG
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ELC
2 - 1
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SPO
3 - 1
RAY
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 0
POL
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |