Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
REC
1 - 0
NUM
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
NUM
2 - 2
SLA
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
NUM
2 - 1
ALA
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
RAY
2 - 1
NUM
63%
20%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
NUM
2 - 1
ESP
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SPO
3 - 0
CDB
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
XER
1 - 0
SPO
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
SPO
2 - 2
CCF
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 0
CDB
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |