Numancia vs Triasu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ZAR
5 - 2
NUM
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
NUM
2 - 1
ATC
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
AZA
3 - 2
NUM
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
NUM
2 - 2
SAB
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
AND
3 - 0
NUM
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Triasu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
SDT
4 - 4
TER
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
EJE
5 - 1
SDT
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
SDT
2 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
AMI
1 - 2
SDT
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
SDT
3 - 2
UDJ
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |