Numancia vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CFB
1 - 0
NUM
13%
24%
63%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NUM
3 - 1
HUE
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 1
MAD
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EJE
0 - 0
NUM
13%
24%
63%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NUM
2 - 1
PXD
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SDF
1 - 0
CDE
21%
28%
51%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CFB
1 - 3
SDF
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SDF
0 - 1
TER
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HUE
0 - 0
SDF
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDF
1 - 1
TAR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |