Numancia vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
NUM
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 1
FCB
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
6 - 1
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 1
GIR
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RMC
6 - 1
MIR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
REC
1 - 3
RMC
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RMC
5 - 1
HUE
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
RMC
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RMC
4 - 0
CCF
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |