Numancia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
FCB
4 - 0
NUM
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 2
VCF
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
MAL
3 - 1
NUM
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 0
DEP
34%
28%
37%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ATH
2 - 1
NUM
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
OVI
1 - 1
RMA
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VAD
2 - 1
OVI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
OVI
1 - 1
BET
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ALA
1 - 0
OVI
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |