Numancia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
LEV
1 - 1
NUM
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
NUM
4 - 0
CDO
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
ALA
3 - 0
NUM
79%
15%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
NUM
1 - 0
LLE
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LEG
0 - 1
NUM
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDO
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
LLE
1 - 1
RJA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 4
UDL
22%
29%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
EIB
0 - 0
RJA
51%
30%
19%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALB
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |