Numancia vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
NUM
2 - 1
SPO
16%
25%
59%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
NUM
4 - 5
CUL
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LEM
1 - 1
NUM
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
RAC
0 - 1
NUM
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 1
UPL
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
AVI
4 - 3
TUD
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
CUL
3 - 1
AVI
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
AVI
1 - 2
LEM
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
AVI
2 - 1
RSO
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |