Numancia vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
NUM
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
NUM
1 - 0
SFN
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
BUR
3 - 0
NUM
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
4 - 2
NUM
78%
16%
7%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
NUM
3 - 4
CDS
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MAN
2 - 0
LEG
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
CIE
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
MAN
4 - 1
ACF
70%
20%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
TAL
1 - 1
MAN
54%
28%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |