Numancia vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
TOM
4 - 0
NUM
66%
17%
17%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
NUM
3 - 1
TAL
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ZAM
2 - 2
NUM
47%
22%
32%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 2
SLA
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PUL
2 - 1
NUM
76%
14%
11%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
MAN
4 - 0
TAL
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
SLA
3 - 1
MAN
85%
10%
6%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
MAN
2 - 2
CDT
34%
21%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
UBC
1 - 2
MAN
81%
12%
8%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
MAN
1 - 2
AVI
55%
20%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |