Numancia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
NUM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
UCA
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VAD
1 - 1
NUM
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 1
CDT
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ELC
1 - 3
NUM
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
VIV
1 - 3
LUG
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 20 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
UCA
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 1
LUG
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
GIR
30%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |