Numancia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
OSA
3 - 2
NUM
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 2
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 0
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 2
NUM
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
ATH
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
MLL
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |