Numancia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
NUM
60%
23%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NUM
1 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
XER
2 - 0
NUM
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
4 - 1
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
MIR
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
REC
3 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 4
HUE
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
RAC
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |