Numancia vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SPB
1 - 0
NUM
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CUL
0 - 0
NUM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NUM
3 - 1
MAR
80%
16%
5%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
OSA
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUD
2 - 2
NUM
8%
17%
76%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LEA
1 - 0
CUL
9%
19%
72%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
LEA
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LEA
1 - 0
COV
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
AVI
0 - 2
LEA
14%
22%
64%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 2
ROB
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |