Numancia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUM
66%
21%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
NUM
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 1
HUE
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
XER
1 - 2
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
HER
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
ELC
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 1
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |