Numancia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CCF
2 - 1
NUM
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
NUM
0 - 1
LEV
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SLA
1 - 3
NUM
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GIR
0 - 0
NUM
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NUM
1 - 0
HUE
67%
22%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
HUE
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
RSO
1 - 0
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
GIM
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
HER
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
UDL
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |