Numancia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALB
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
XER
0 - 3
NUM
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 1
ELC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 2
NUM
35%
28%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
POL
1 - 2
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
HER
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
G74
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
XER
4 - 3
HER
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |