Numancia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAS
3 - 1
NUM
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 0
CAD
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 2
MUR
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CDT
1 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
ALB
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 3
HER
62%
24%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
SLA
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
CAS
53%
27%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 1
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |