Numancia vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 2
NUM
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
NUM
0 - 0
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDT
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
EIB
1 - 1
NUM
35%
29%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
GET
3 - 1
LEG
49%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ELC
1 - 1
GET
56%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
GET
3 - 1
RAY
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
TER
1 - 2
GET
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
GET
1 - 1
POL
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |