Numancia vs Toreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SAL
4 - 2
NUM
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
NUM
6 - 1
AST
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
LEO
0 - 2
NUM
66%
21%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
NUM
3 - 1
UXA
81%
14%
5%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SDA
2 - 2
NUM
42%
28%
30%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
TOR
5 - 0
SEG
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
CFB
2 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
TOR
2 - 2
LER
41%
27%
31%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
CAC
0 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
TOR
3 - 0
PON
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |