Numancia vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 1
NUM
57%
24%
20%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
NUM
0 - 3
SAB
49%
26%
25%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
NUM
0 - 1
AND
45%
29%
27%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
BIN
3 - 0
NUM
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
NUM
0 - 3
EJE
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
CDC
1 - 3
BIN
59%
22%
18%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
EJE
2 - 1
CDC
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
CDC
4 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
10%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
ARN
0 - 0
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
CDC
3 - 1
HAR
65%
21%
15%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |