Numancia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CAD
1 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 0
NUM
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NUM
0 - 1
CDT
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VEC
1 - 5
NUM
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALB
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
19%
28%
53%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAS
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SLA
1 - 2
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |