Numancia vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
14%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
NUM
2 - 1
ZAR
41%
30%
30%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MIR
1 - 0
NUM
51%
27%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
NUM
1 - 0
FCA
42%
28%
30%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
RSO
5 - 1
NUM
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
NUM
2 - 0
MED
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
CDU
1 - 0
MIR
41%
29%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
SNT
0 - 0
CDU
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
FCA
3 - 2
CDU
64%
23%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
CDU
0 - 1
RSO
29%
31%
40%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
GIM
2 - 1
CDU
45%
29%
26%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |