Numancia vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
NUM
0 - 0
TUD
73%
14%
13%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
NUM
2 - 2
POR
76%
13%
11%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
CDA
2 - 1
NUM
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
NUM
4 - 4
CDG
63%
18%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
RAY
6 - 0
NUM
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
BIN
3 - 0
BAS
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
BAS
1 - 4
ARE
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
BAS
3 - 1
MIR
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
SDI
2 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
TUD
1 - 2
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |