Numancia vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
NUM
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ELC
2 - 2
NUM
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 2
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIR
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
ELC
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
VAD
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
REC
0 - 1
ALM
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 3
ALM
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |