Numancia vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
NUM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
OSA
3 - 2
NUM
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 2
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
ATH
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
ALB
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
MLL
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |