Numancia vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LEG
2 - 1
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 2
LEV
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
LEG
0 - 1
NUM
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ALB
1 - 0
CDB
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
ALB
1 - 2
EIB
53%
28%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TER
1 - 1
ALB
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
ALB
1 - 2
LEG
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
RCF
2 - 0
ALB
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |