Numancia C vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ARC
3 - 1
COV
68%
17%
16%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
ARC
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
3 - 2
PIQ
11%
19%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
ARC
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
0 - 1
SAM
18%
23%
59%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |