Numancia de Ares vs As Pontes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia de Ares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
NUM
0 - 3
VIC
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GAL
1 - 0
NUM
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NUM
0 - 2
CUL
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CCR
0 - 0
NUM
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
NUM
1 - 0
OZA
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 3
MAR
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASP
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ASP
0 - 3
GAL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CUL
1 - 0
ASP
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 0
CCR
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |