Numancia vs Somozas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
NUM
32%
21%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
3 - 0
MAT
81%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CUL
1 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
3 - 1
CEB
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 5
NUM
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Somozas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SOM
6 - 1
XCA
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SOM
3 - 4
CAR
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
SOM
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SOM
6 - 1
MAT
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CUL
3 - 1
SOM
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |