Numancia vs Cebarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 5
NUM
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
MEI
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 3
NUM
37%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
3 - 1
SAD
29%
21%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
NUM
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CEB
4 - 1
XCA
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 2
CEB
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEB
5 - 1
VAL
68%
16%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 2
CEB
35%
21%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CEB
0 - 1
CUL
18%
18%
64%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |