Numancia vs Cebarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NUM
4 - 1
PON
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SOM
2 - 0
NUM
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
NUM
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CCR
3 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 4
CLU
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CEB
1 - 2
CLU
16%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
CEB
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CEB
3 - 3
MAT
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 2
CEB
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 1
CEB
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |