Numancia vs San Mateo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CUL
1 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
3 - 1
CEB
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 5
NUM
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
MEI
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 3
NUM
37%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 2
XCA
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SOM
6 - 1
MAT
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 2
VAL
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 2
CAR
47%
20%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CUL
5 - 0
MAT
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |