Numancia vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MEI
1 - 3
NUM
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 4
NUM
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 4
NUM
22%
20%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NUM
0 - 0
NAR
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOE
1 - 3
NUM
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MOE
0 - 2
RAP
30%
23%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MOE
2 - 3
ADM
34%
22%
45%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 5
MOE
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
MOE
55%
20%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOE
1 - 3
NUM
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |