Numancia vs Cariño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AMM
1 - 2
NUM
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NUM
5 - 0
VIL
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 1
NUM
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
NUM
4 - 1
BAR
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MEI
2 - 0
NUM
57%
20%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cariño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
AMM
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 1
CAR
46%
20%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CEB
7 - 2
CAR
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 2
XCA
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 0
BAR
27%
21%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |